Brock & Shane’s NFL Best Bets – Week 16
ATLANTA FALCONS at BALTIMORE RAVENS
Best Bet: Dobbins Over 65.5 Rushing Yards -114
The Falcons’ rushing defense is bad and JK Dobbins is back! Ravens are going to run all day with Lamar and Huntley banged up and the Falcons rushing defense one of the worst in the league.
HOUSTON TEXANS at TENNESSEE TITANS
Best Bet: Titans ML -170
I suppose I’m the type of guy that has to touch the stove even if you tell him it’s hot, because I’m backing the Titans again this week, even without Tannehill. As I mentioned last week, Tennessee is a team that falls under the “buy low” category, and that still applies this week. Plus, we have a nice little “get right” spot here with a home game against the worst team in football. Not to mention this is close to a “must-win” game for Tennessee. In Malik Willis we trust.
CINCINNATI BENGALS at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Best Bet: Jamar Chase Over 71.5 Receiving Yards -115
Nobody on the Patriots is going to isolate this guy and even if he only gets 4 catches, he should still be able to break for 80+ yards. He’s been hot all season and this should be a nice game for the electrifying duo.
NEW YORK GIANTS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Best Bet: Giants +4 -110
The Vikings have found themselves in a slew of one score games this season. I’ll back that trend to continue.
DETROIT LIONS at CAROLINA PANTHERS
Best Bet: Lions ML -145
Simple decision here. Detroit has been one of the hottest teams in football. Let’s keep riding that wave.
BUFFALO BILLS at CHICAGO BEARS
Best Bet: Under 40.5 -110
This game is scheduled to be played in single digit temperatures with 20+ mph winds. The ball will probably stay on the ground a good bit, which will keep that clock moving. Not to mention any field goal or extra point attempts will be an adventure, as we’ve seen in the past with the windy conditions at Soldier Field.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at CLEVELAND BROWNS
Best Bet: Nick Chubb Anytime TD +100
This Saints team is not good, and the defense is bad against the run. Watson is not good, and the offense is not geared towards throwing the ball so all signs point to a big Chubb game.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Best Bet: Travis Kelce Anytime TD -190
Travis Kelce has been electric all season and the Seahawks defense cannot match up against this Chiefs offense. Kelce is tied for 1st in the league for TD receptions and you have to imagine that Mahomes is going to try and hook his boy up as much as possible.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Best Bet: Christian McCaffrey TD -165
CMC got snubbed out of the Pro Bowl so he has extra motivation heading into this game. He’s had back-to-back 100+ yards rushing games and there’s nobody on the Commanders defense who can cover him. I like this also because it’s the Trent Williams revenge game.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at DALLAS COWBOYS
Best Bet: Over 47 -110
No Hurts in this game, but I think Gardner Minshew can come in and manage some scoring drives. Especially if we don’t see Parsons suit up. On the flip side, I think the Cowboys will surely generate some points at home.
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Best Bet: Steelers ML -130
There aren’t any trends or analytical data points in this pick. Instead, I’m going to back the motivational edge the Steelers have here. Franco Harris passed away on Tuesday, just 3 days before the 50th anniversary of “The Immaculate Reception”. The Steelers are set to play on Christmas Eve, just one day after the anniversary… against none other than the Raiders. There were anniversary events scheduled for this game, and they were highly anticipated. After all, Harris is an all-time Steeler great, who made just as many contributions off the field as he did on the field. He is a Pittsburgh icon. I expect the Steelers will want to honor his memory with a win.
DENVER BRONCOS at LOS ANGELES RAMS
Best Bet: Baker Mayfield Over 0.5 INT’s -110
The Broncos’ defense isn’t accurately portrayed by their abysmal record. I think they’ll be able to snag a Mayfield throw at some point.
GREEN BAY PACKERS at MIAMI DOLPHINS
Best Bet: Over 49.5 -110
Points all day. Both defenses are suspect, especially the Dolphins secondary, and with the weather being somewhat nice I expect points. Aaron Jones for the Packers should have a huge night. I wouldn’t be surprised if he works 2 TDs out of this matchup.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS at ARIZONA CARDINALS
Best Bet: Tom Brady Over 1.5 Passing TD’s -140
Arizona’s defense is bad and falling apart. Tom Brady has been throwing the ball all season and I highly doubt they take the foot off the pedal now with playoffs possible. Tampa should be able to beat or at least keep close with the Cardinals and I expect some nice red zone targets for Evans and Godwin.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Best Bet: Colts +4.5 -110
The Chargers are hunting down a playoff spot, but they’ve only won 1 game by 2 scores all season. Nick Foles has been there, done that. I’ll trust him to keep it close.